minus-squareLogi@lemmy.worldtoNews@lemmy.world•Nate Silver predicts Trump has 64% chance of winning the electoral college in latest forecastlinkfedilinkarrow-up7·10 days ago Probability is useful because it can make predictions that can be tested against reality. Yes. But you’d have to run the test repeatedly and see if the outcome, i.e. Clinton winning, happens as often as the model predicts. But we only get to run an election once. And there is no guarantee that the most likely outcome will happen on the first try. linkfedilink
minus-squareLogi@lemmy.worldtoNews@lemmy.world•Politico Gets Raked Over the Coals for Kamala Harris Post: ‘One of the Worst Headlines Written in a Long Time’linkfedilinkarrow-up6·19 days agoCanyank? linkfedilink
minus-squareLogi@lemmy.worldtolinuxmemes@lemmy.world•My impression of github since switching to Linuxlinkfedilinkarrow-up2·27 days agoThere is also a dpkg command for that. Grep it for /bin/ and you’ve got your executable. linkfedilink
Yes. But you’d have to run the test repeatedly and see if the outcome, i.e. Clinton winning, happens as often as the model predicts.
But we only get to run an election once. And there is no guarantee that the most likely outcome will happen on the first try.